Showing posts with label Expected Dearness Allowance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Expected Dearness Allowance. Show all posts

Saturday, 3 August 2019

Expected Dearness Allowance 5% DA hike from July 2019 as per 7th Pay Commission for all Central Government Employees

Expected Dearness Allowance

5% DA hike from July 2019 as per 7th Pay Commission for all Central Government Employees

Confirm! DA/DR from July, 2019: 5% increase in 7th CPC DA @17% and 10% increase in 6th CPC DA @ 164%

All India Consumer Price (Industrial Workers) Index Number [CPI(IW)] for June, 2019 has released by Labour Bureau. CPI-IW for June, 2019 increased by 2 points and pegged at 316 (three hundred and sixteen). And with this increase in AICPIN the Central Govt. Employees and Pensioners will get 5% increase in Dearness Allowance with effect from July, 2019 in 7th CPC Pay structure. On the other hand employees who are drawing their pay in pre-revised 6th CPC pay structure will get 10% increase in Dearness Allowance w.e.f. July, 2019 at the rate of 164%, which is currently 154%.

As per prevailing practice this increase may be approved by the Union Cabinet in the month of September, 2019 with direction to draw the increased DA/DR from the month of October, 2019 and arrears for the month of July, August and September, 2019 may be paid at that time.

Detail calculation of DA from July, 2019 to be 17% in 7th CPC & 164% in 6th CPC pay structure with AICPIN of June-2019 is furnished in undermentioned table:-

    "Press Release of AICPIN for June, 2019 increased by 2 points and pegged at 316"

YearFromToDA %
2016JulyDecember2%
2017JanuaryJune4%
2017JulyDecember5%
2018JanuaryJune7%
2018JulyDecember9%
2019JanuaryJune12%
2019JulyDecember17%

Saturday, 29 June 2019

5% DA increase from July 2019 confirmed for Central Government Employees. 12% becomes 17% due to high inflation

5% DA increase from July 2019 confirmed for Central Government Employees. 12% becomes 17% due to high inflation

AICPIN May 2019 Two Points Increase - Expected DA Fixed at Next Level

All India Consumer Price Index for the month of May 2019 has been released by the Labour Bureau on 28th of this month and the CPI(IW) index has jumped to 314 by adding of two points, due to the pressure from Food Group index. At item level, Wheat Atta, Arhar Dal, Groundnut Oil, Poultry (Chicken), Milk Buffallo, Chillies Green, Garlic, Ginger, Onion, Banana, Brinjal, Carrot, French Bean, Green Coriander Leaves, Lemon, Potato, Tomato, Electricity Charges, Medicine­ Allopathic, etc. are responsible for the increase in index.

Out of 6 months of AICPIN needs to calculate the Dearness allowance and Dearness relief, we received 5 months statistics only. The 5th month i.e. May 2019 index is increased 2 points is remarkable. Along with the increase, the percentage of additional dearness allowance from july 2019 is kept in next level.

MONTHAICPINDA%
Jan-1930713.39
Feb-19 30714.02
Mar-1930914.73
Apr-1931215.49
May-1931416.29
Jun-19314 (Expected)17.02 (Expected)

After 7th Pay Commission implementation, this is the highest percentage in additional allowance for Central Government employees, Civil and Defence Pensioners and Family Pensioners.

5% of additional Dearness Allowance and Dearness Relief may increase from July 2019 to all central civil and defence pensioners and family pensioners with minimum amount of Rs.450 per month.

7th CPC Dearness Allowance Rates 

Date from which payableDA %
1st July 201917% (Expected)
1st Jan 201912%
1st July 20189%
1st Jan 20187%
1st July 20175%
1st Jan 20174%
1st July 20162%
1st Jan 2016

Monday, 1 April 2019

Expected DA from July 2019 - AICPIN for February 2019

Expected DA from July 2019 - AICPIN for February 2019

All India Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) - Feb 2019
Expected Dearness Allowance Calculation from July 2019

No.5/1/2019-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU
‘CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 29th March, 2019
Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) - February, 2019 The All-India CPI-IW for February, 2019 remained stationary at 307 (three hundred seven). On 1-month percentage change, it remained static between January, 2019 and February, 2019 when compared with the decrease of (-) 0.35 per cent for the corresponding months of last year.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Miscellaneous and Food groups contributing (+) 0.26 and (+) 0.17 percentage points respectively to the total change. At item level, Rice, Wheat, Wheat Atta, Goat Meat, Apple, Coconut, Gourd, Electricity Charges, Doctor’s Fee, Medicine (Allopathic), Private Tuition Fee, Petrol, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Jowar, Poultry (Chicken), Onion, Tamarind, Carrot, Methi, Grapes, Potato, Tomato, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation based on CPI-IW stood at 6.97 per cent for February, 2019 as compared to 6.60 per cent for the previous month and 4.74 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at (+) 2.63 per cent against (+) 0.97 per cent of the previous month and (+) 2.36 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level Siliguri reported the maximum increase of 7 points followed by Amritsar (6 points) and Srinagar and Chhindwara (5 points each). Among others, 4 points increase was observed in 5 centres, 3 points in 4 centres, 2 points in 10 centres and 1 point in 14 centres. On the contrary, Salem and Quilon recorded a maximum decrease of 5 points each followed by Raniganj and . Coimbatore (4 points each). Among others, 2 points decrease was observed in 7 centres and 1 point in 11 centres. Rest of the 19 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 35 centres are above All-India Index and 42 centres’ indices are below national average. The index of Mercara centre remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of March, 2019 will be released on Tuesday, 30th April, 2019. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.
sd/-
(AMRIT LAL JANGID)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR

Friday, 1 December 2017

Expected DA from January 2018: Confirm 7th CPC DA @ 7% & Expected 6th CPC @ 143% - CPI(IW) Index of Oct, 17 released


Expected DA from January 2018: Confirm 7th CPC DA @ 7% & Expected 6th CPC @ 143% - CPI(IW) Index of Oct, 17 released

All India Consumer Price(Industrial Workers) Index Number [CPI(IW)] of Oct, 2017 has been released yesterday by Labour Bureau and increased by 2 points and pegged at 287 (two hundred and eighty seven). With this increase 7th CPC Dearness Allowance/Dearness Relief for Central Govt Employees and Pensioner w.e.f. the month from January, 2018 will be 7% with 2% increase in July, 2017 DA/DR. On the other hand the 6th CPC DA speculated to be 143% with 4% increase in present DA Rate.

The speculation of month of Sept, 2017 while 5 points increase in All India Consumer Price (Industrial Workers) Index Number [CPI(IW)] of July, 2017 was indicating 7% 7th CPC Dearness Allowance with 2% increase & 142% 6th CPC DA with 3% increase in 6th CPC Dearness Allowance from January, 2018 has comes true after 3 months.

Only two months index is to be needed to give the calculated figure for the January, 2018 DA/DR but the confirm speculation is being given through the undermentioned table. The undermentioned speculations are checking the Expected DA 2018 by extreme up and down level of CPI(IW) Number. A major ups and down in index will give the confirm 7% 7th CPC DA and a minor change will give variation in 6th CPC DA as 142% or 143%. Have a look on expected DA table:

expected-da-jan-2018


Expected DA from Jan, 2018: ACPIN (IW) for Oct, 2017 released - 2 Points increased


No. 5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

'CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 30th November, 2017

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) - October, 2017

The All-India CPI-IW for October, 2017 increased by 2 points and pegged at 287 (two hundred and eighty seven). On l-month percentage change, it increased by (+)0.70 per cent between September, 2017 and October, 2017 when compared with the increase of (+) 0.36 per cent for the corresponding months of last year.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 1.94 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Milk (Buffalo), Onion, Bitter Gourd, Brinjal, Cabbage, Cauliflower, Carrot, Gourd, Coconut, French Beans, Green Coriander Leaves, Lady’s Finger, Parval, Potato, Tomato, Torai, Cigarette, Cooking Gas, Doctor’s Fee, Cinema Charges, Repair Charges, Tailoring Charges, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Arhar Dal, Fish Fresh, Poultry (Chicken), Chillies Green, Peas, Apple, Banana, Orange, Petrol, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 3.24 per cent for October, 2017 as compared to 2.89 per cent for the previous month and 3.35 percent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 2.26 per cent against 1.30 per cent of the previous month and 2.99 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Darjeeling and Tiruchirapally reported the maximum increase of (10 points each) followed by Munger-Jamalpur (8 points) and Puducherry (7 points). Among others, 6 points increase was observed in 2 centres, 5 points in 8 centres, 4 points in 7 centres, 3 points in 8 centres, 2 points in 19 centres and 1 point in 14 centres. On the contrary, Mercara recorded a maximum decrease of 4 points. followed by Goa and Bhavnagar (3 points each). Among others, 2 points decrease was observed in l centre and 1 point in another 6 centres. Rest of the 6 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 33 centres are above All-India Index and 43 centres'  indices are below national average. The indices of Madurai and Amritsar centres remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPHW for the month of November, 2017 will be released on Friday, 29th December, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew. gov. in.
(AMRIT LAL JANGID)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR


PIB

Sunday, 1 October 2017

AICPIN for August 2017 - Expected DA from January 2018

AICPIN for August 2017 - Expected DA from January 2018

The AICPIN (All India Consumer Price Index) for Industrial Workers Base Year 2001=100 for August, 2017 remained stationary at 285 (two hundred and eighty five). 

No.5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU
'CLEREMONT', SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 29th September, 2017
PRESS RELEASE

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) - August, 2017

The All-India CPI-IW for August, 2017 remained stationary at 285 (two hundred and eighty five). On 1-month percentage change, it remained static between July, 2017 and August, 2017 when compared with the decrease of (-) 0.71 per cent for the corresponding months of last year.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Miscellaneous group contributing (+) 0.37 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Coconut Oil, Pure Ghee, Onion, Brinjal, Cabbage, Poi Sag, Pumpkin, Banana, Coconut, Mango, Tea (Readymade), Snack Saltish, Bide, Cinema Charges, Petrol, Flower/Flower Garlands, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Wheat, Wheat Atta, Masur Dal, Fish Fresh, Poultry (Chicken), Carrot, French Beans, Green Coriander Leaves, Methi, Peas, Tomato, Torai, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.
The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 2.52 per cent for August, 2017 as compared to 1.79 per cent for the previous month and 5.30 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at (+) 1.61 per cent against (-) 0.32 per cent of the previous month and 6.16 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Jalpaiguri reported the maximum increase of 11 points followed by Jalandhar and Rourkela (8 points each), Chhindwara (6 points) and Chandigarh and Vishakhapathnam (5 points each). Among others, 4 points increase was observed in 3 centres, 3 points in 7 centres, 2 points in 14 centres and 1 point in 16 centres. On the contrary, Coonoor recorded a maximum decrease of 6 points followed by Lucknow (4 points) and Mundakkayam, Chennai and Puducherry (3 points each). Among others, 2 points decrease was observed in 6 centres and 1 point in 5 centres. Rest of the 16 centres' indices remained stationary.

The indices of 35 centres are above All-India Index and 42 centres' indices are below national average. The indices of Vishakhapathnam centre remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of September, 2017 will be released on Tuesday, 31st October, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.
sd/-
(AMRIT LALJANGID)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR
Click to view the Press Release
Authority: www.labourbureaunew.gov.in

Monday, 11 September 2017

Expected DA from January 2018 - DA would be 3% ?


Expected DA from January 2018 -  DA would be 3% ?

We have calculated the expected DA from January 2018 with different Scenarios, but most of the calculations comes around only 3 percent increase, lets us see the scenarios here

Scenario 1
In case the AICPIN value increase by 3 point for next FIVE months (example AUG 288, SEP 291, OCT 294, NOV 297, DEC 300,), then DA would be 3% (8.81-5 =3)

EXPECTED-DA-JAN-2018


Scenario 2
In case the AICPIN value increase by 3 point for next FIVE months (example AUG 289, SEP 293, OCT 297, NOV 301, DEC 305) then DA would be 4% (9.28-5 =4)

EXPECTED-da-jan-2018-AICPIN

Wednesday, 2 August 2017

Expected DA: AICPIN for the month of June 2017


Expected DA: AICPIN for the month of June 2017

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI_IW) - June 2017
The All India CPI_IW for June, 2017 increased by two points and pegged at 280.

No.5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU
'CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 31st July, 2017
Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) - June, 2017

The All-India CPI-IW for June, 2017 increased by 2 points and pegged at 280 (two hundred and eighty). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by (+) 0.72 per cent between May, 2017 and June, 2017 when compared with the increase of (+) 0.73 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 2.59 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Wheat, Fish Fresh, Eggs (Hen), Poultry (Chicken), Milk, Pure Ghee, Chillies Green, Onion, Brinjal, Cabbage, Cauliflower, Gourd, Green Coriander Leaves, Palak, Potato, Radish, Tomato, Torai, Coconut, Cooking Gas, Medicine (Allopathic), Toilet Soap, Tailoring Charges, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Arhar Dal, Masur Dal, Groundnut Oil, Mustard Oil, Chillies Dry, French Beans, Electricity Charges, Petrol, Flower/Flower Garlands, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 1.08 per cent for June, 2017 as compared to 1.09 per cent for the previous month and 6.13 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at (-) 1.28 per cent against (-) 1.63 per cent of the previous month and 8.33 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Lucknow reported the maximum increase of 8 points followed by Agra (7 points) and Rajkot, Madurai, Varanasi, Quilon and Surat (6 points each). Among others, 5 points increase was observed in 8 centres, 4 points in 8 centres, 3 points in 9 centres, 2 points in 15 centres and 1 point in 13 centres. On the contrary, Darjeeling, Tripura, Belgaum, Rangapara-Tezpur and Chandigarh recorded maximum decrease of 2 points each followed by 1 point decrease in Guwahati. Rest of the 12 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 33 centres are above All-India Index and other 45 centres’ indices are below national average.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of July, 2017 will be released on Thursday, 31st August, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.
(SHYAM SINGH NEGI)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL
expected-da-july-2017-is-over

Monday, 3 July 2017

AICPIN for the month of May 2017 - Expected DA Almost Final!

AICPIN for the month of May 2017 - Expected DA Almost Final!

All India Consumer Price Index for the month of May 2017

The official Press Release has been released by the Labour Bureau today on its official portal, the index has increased by one point and stands at 278. Expected Dearness Allowance and Dearness Relief for Central Government Employees and Pensioners is almost decided to hike by 1 percent with effect from 1st July 2017. The total DA and DR from 1.7.2017 may be revised as 5%.

The image of the Press Release is given below for your further reference…

Saturday, 30 April 2016

AICPIN March 2016 – Expected DA July 2016 – 3rd Stage Completed

AICPIN March 2016 – Expected DA July 2016 – 3rd Stage Completed

AICPIN March 2016 expected DA

Press Release of AICPIN for the month of march 2016

No. 5/1/2016- CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU
`CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 29th April, 2016
Press Release
Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – March, 2016

The All-India CPI-IW for March, 2016 increased by 1 point and pegged at 268 (two hundred and sixty eight). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by (+) 0.37 per cent between February, 2016 and March, 2016 when compared with the increase of (+) 0.40 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came From Food group contributing, (+) 0.37 percentage points to the total change. At item level. Wheat and Wheat Atta, Fish Fresh, Goat Meat, Poultry (Chicken), Milk, Chillies Dry. Chillies Green, Potato, Seasonal Green Vegetables and Fruit items, Tea (Readymade). Sugar, Private Tuition Fee, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Rice, Arhar Dal. Mustard Oil, Eggs (Hen), Garlic. Onion. Tomato, Supari. Petrol, Flower/Flower Garlands, etc.. putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 5.51 per cent for March, 2016 as compared to 5.53 per cent for the previous month and 6.28 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 6.16 per cent against 6.18 per cent of the previous month and 6.98 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Munger-Jamalpur reported the maximum increase of 10 points followed by Raniganj (9 points) and Ludhiana (7 points). Among others, 5 points increase was observed in 4 centres, 3 points in another 9 centres, 2 points in 9 centres and I point in 14 centres. On the contrary, Mundakkayam recorded a maximum decrease of 6 points followed by Ernakulam and Puducherry (5 points each). Tiruchirapally and Warrangal (4 points each). Among others, 3 points decrease was observed in 2 centres, 2 points in 9 centres and 1 point in another 9 centres. Rest of the 14 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 33 centres are above All-India Index and other 43 centres indices are below national average. The indices of Bokaro and Varanasi centres remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of April, 2016 will be released on Tuesday, 31st May, 2016.

The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov. in.

Authority: www.labourbureaunew.gov. in

Friday, 29 April 2016

AICPIN for the month of March 2016

AICPIN for the month of March 2016

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – March, 2016

The All-India CPI-IW for March, 2016 increased by 1 point and pegged at 268 (two hundred and sixty eight). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by (+) 0.37 per cent between February, 2016 and March, 2016 when compared with the decrease of (+) 0.40 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

More details awaited…

Thursday, 31 March 2016

Expected DA July 2016 – AICPIN For February 2016

Expected DA July 2016 – AICPIN For February 2016

Expected-DA-july-2016-AICPIN-CG-Employees

No.5/1/2016- CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU
CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 31st March,2016
Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – February, 2016

The All-India CPI-IW for February, 2016 decreased by 2 points and pegged at 267 (two hundred and sixty seven). On 1-month percentage change, it decreased by (-) 0.74 per cent between January, 2016 and February, 2016 when compared with the decrease of (-) 0.39 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum downward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing, (-) 2.21 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Arhar Dal. Masur Dal, Moong Dal, Urd Dal, Groundnut Oil, Mustard Oil, Poultry (Chicken), Eggs (Hen), Garlic, Onion, Vegetable and Fruit items, Flower/Flower Garlands, etc. are responsible for the decrease in index. However, this decrease was checked by Wheat and Wheat Atta, Fish Fresh, Goat Meat, Milk, Tea (Readymade), Sugar, Cigarette, Tailoring Charges, etc., putting upward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 5.53 per cent tbr February, 2016 as compared to 5.91 per cent for the previous month and 6.30 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 6.18 per cent against 7.61 per cent of the previous month and 7.42 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Giridih reported the maximum decrease of 8 points followed by Madurai, Tiruchirapally, Munger-Jamalpur and Bengaluru (7 points each) and Sholapur. Mundakkayam and Belgaum (6 points each). Among others. 5 points decrease was observed in 3 centres, 4 points in 8 centres, 3 points in another 8 centres. 2 points in 14 centres and 1 point in 10 centres. On the contrary, Quilon recorded a maximum increase of 5 points followed by Mysore and Rajkot (3 points each) and Kodarma (2 points). Among others, 1 point increase was observed in 9 centres. Rest or the 14 centres’ indices remained stationary.
The indices of 34 centres are above All-India Index and other 44 centres’ indices are below national average.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of March, 2016 will be released on Friday, 29th April, 2016. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.
(SHYAM SINGH NEGI)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL
PIB

Click to view Press Release in English
Click to view Dettailed Report of AICPIN

Monday, 2 November 2015

Expected DA from January 2016 which is crucial for 7th CPC Pay

Expected DA from January 2016 is 125% after release of AICPI (IW) for September 2015 – Estimation of Dearness Allowance applicable to Central Government Employees and Pensioners


Expected DA from January 2016
Ministry of Labour and Employment has released All India Consumer Price Index for the month of September 2015. It has reached 266 which is two point increase over the previous month. Unlike penultimate DA Installment estimation, the pattern of Consumer Price Indices that are available for arriving at expected Dearness Allowances from January 2016 provides us precise idea on expected DA from January 2016. Hence, we thought of making a prediction analysis a bit earlier this time.

In fact, the quantum of DA with effect from 1st January 2016, is very crucial for Central Government Employees and Pensioners, as it is going to determine the DA merged Pay and increase in allowances after implementation of 7th Pay Commission.

As a first step let us list the Actual AICPI – IW which are available as on date, for estimating DA from January 2016.

Month Actual AICPI-IW
Jan-2015 254
Feb-2015 253
Mar-2015 254
Apr-2015 256
May-2015 258
Jun-2015 261
July-2015 263
Aug-2015 264
Sep-2015 266
Oct-2015 Not released
Nov-2015 Not released
Dec-2015 Not released

Out of 12 Consumer Price Indices which are required to determine DA with effect from January 2016, nine indices are already available. So, consumer price indices for remaining three months will have to be assumed.
We have taken three possible assumptions this time, such that each assumption gives different quantum of increase in DA from January 2016.

Assumption 1: (Assumption of CPI for getting least possible increase in DA from January 2016)

The least increase in DA from January 2016 will be 5% (i.e., DA from January will be 124% ). Under this assumption, DA from January 2016 will be 124% only if CPI falls below the present level of 266 in at least two of three coming months. Though Chances for this scenario coming to reality is possible but the increasing trend in consumer price index from February 2015 negates this possibility.

DA from Jan 2016= [(254+253+254+256+258+
261+263+264+266+265+
265+266)-115.76]*100/115.76
= 124 % (5% increase in DA from Jan 2016)

Assumption 2: (Assumption of CPI for getting maximum possible DA from January 2016):

DA from January 2016 is calculated to be 126%, only if CPI touches 272 from the present level of 266, at least two times in the coming three months with at least one point increase in the remaining month.  We feel that this scenario is remotely possible considering the trend of CPI, which shows only moderate inflation.

DA from Jan 2016= [(254+253+254+256+258+
261+263+264+266+267+
272+272)-115.76]*100/115.76
= 126 % (7% increase in DA from Jan 2016)

Assumption 3: (Assumption of Most Possible Consumer Indices ):

Steady increase in AICPI-IW could be found from February 2015 at the rate of one to two point increase over previous month.

Even if CPI from October 2015 to December 2015 remains at 266 , DA from January 2016 will be 125%. Considering the trend in CPI in the recent months, it could be safely presumed that indices would increase one or two points in the coming months or at least remains in the same level. In both of these cases, DA from January 2016 will be 125%.

DA from Jan 2016= [(254+253+254+256+
258+261+263+264+266+
267+272+272)-115.76]*100/115.76
= 125 % (6% increase in DA from Jan 2016)
It is apparent that Assumption 3 has got better chances out of these three assumptions. Hence we can safely bet that DA from January 2016 will be 125%.

Source: gconnect.in

Friday, 30 October 2015

Expected DA January 2016 – AICPIN for September 2015

Expected DA January 2016 – AICPIN for September 2015

No.5/1/2015-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU
CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004
DATED : 30th October, 2015
Press Release
Expected DA January 2016 – AICPIN for September 2015

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – September, 2015

The All-India CPI-IW for September, 2015 increased by 2 points and pegged at 266 (two hundred and sixty six). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by (+) 0.76 per cent between August and September, 2015 which was static between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 1.78 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Arhar Dal, Masur Dal, Moong Dal, Urd Dal, Mustard Oil, Onion, Cauliflower, Green Coriander Leaves, Potato, Tea (Readymade), Sugar, Electricity Charges, Private Tuition Fee, Flower/Flower Garlands, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was restricted by Wheat, Fish Fresh, Poultry (Chicken), Eggs (Hen), Apple, Coconut, Tomato, Petrol, Washing Soap, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 5.14 per cent for September, 2015 as compared to 4.35 per cent for the previous month and 6.30 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 5.71 per cent against 3.55 per cent of the previous month and 6.46 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Chhindwara reported the highest increase of 10 points followed by Varanasi (9 points), Pune, Tripura, Jalpaiguri and Bhilwara (6 points each). Among others, 5 points rise was observed in 5 centres, 4 points in 7 centres, 3 points in 8 centres, 2 points in 16 centres and 1.point in 19 centres. On the contrary, Goa recorded a maximum decrease of 4 points followed by Ernakulam 3 points. Among others, 2 points decrease was observed in 4 centres and 1 point in 2 centres. Rest of the 9 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 36 centres are above All India Index and other 42 centres’ indices are below national average.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of October, 2015 will be released on Monday, 30th November, 2015. The same will also be available on the office website www. labourbureau.gov. in.

(S.S.NEGI)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL
Authority: http://labourbureau.nic.in/

Tuesday, 30 June 2015

‘Expected DA July 2015’ to be finalized – May 2015 AICPIN to be announced today

‘Expected DA July 2015’ to be finalized – May 2015 AICPIN to be announced today

‘DA from July 2015’ will most likely be finalized today; DA calculation stands at nearly 6%, as of now.

The price of petrol and diesel is one of the most important factors that influence the prices of general commodities. Petrol and diesel prices had increased by 10 to 15% in the month of May. Experts believe that it will have a huge impact on the prices of essential commodities too.

The Labour Bureau calculates the AICPIN points based on the prices of essential commodities at 78 select towns and cities from all over the country. The Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) is an important statistical/economic indicator. It was first introduced on scientific lines with base 1960=100 which was based on the results of Family Living Survey conducted in 1958-59 at 50 industrially important centres. The series was then, updated on base 1982=100 and a revision in 1999-2000 has further updated the base on 2001=100.

The CPI (IW) Base Year 2001=100 index points for the month of May will be announced today. Based on today’s announcement, one can calculate, the Dearness Allowance that will be given from July onwards.

Source: www.cgstaffportal.in

Monday, 2 February 2015

Expected Dearness Allowance: Two More Instalments for the tenure of 6th Pay Commission

Expected Dearness Allowance: Two More Instalments for the tenure of 6th Pay Commission

Expected or Additional Dearness Allowance: Two More Instalments for the tenure of 6th Pay Commission i.e., July 2015 and Jan 2016.
After releasing the CPI(IW) for the month of December 2014, the second instalment of additional Dearness Allowance for the year of 2014 is confirmed to hike by 6%. This calculation effective from 1.1.2015 for the purpose of DA / DR to CG Employees and Pensioners upto June 2014. The total DA and DR will go up to 113%.
After the completion of 2014, two more instalments are balance for the year of 2015. These additional instalments are effective from 1.7.2015 and 1.1.2016. The index of ‘All India Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers Base Year 2001=100′ upto December 2015 is essential to arrive the additional percentage of dearness allowance for the tenure of Jan to June 2014 and July to Dec 2014.
The 6th Pay Commission recommended the calculation method of additional DA for the period of 2006 to 2015, and from Jan 2016 is expected to begin with the recommendation of 7th Pay Commission.
A table is given for better understand the position of dearness allowance and remaining the additional DA…
Two More Instalments for the tenure of 6th Pay Commission

Source: www.cgstaffnews.in

Friday, 30 January 2015

Expected DA Jan 2015 is now confirmed to hike by 6% – AICPIN for Dec 2014 released…

AICPIN for December 2014 – No change and stands at 253


Labour Bureau just now released the index of CPI(IW) for the month of December 2014. The index is remained stationary at 253.

As we expected earlier, the expected dearness allowance from january 2015 is now confirmed to hike by 6% only.

And AICPIN for the month of January 2015 will be published on 27th February 2015.

Click to read official report of AICPIN FOR DEC 2014

Thursday, 1 January 2015

113% DA-DR from January, 2015 confirmed after November, 2014 AICPIN

113% DA-DR from January, 2015 confirmed after November, 2014 AICPIN 

Expected DA/DR is now entered in 2nd last step.  All India  Consumer Price Index Number (AICPIN) for Industrial Worker is remained stationery at 253 (two hundred and fifty three) for the month of November, 2014. Estimation of 113% with 6% increase in expected DA/DR for Central Government Employees/Pensioner is also stationery as previous month November-2014.   CPI-IW for next two months is yet to be announced.   Following table showing that estimation of 113% is constant with 9 points’ increase in CPI-IW index and with 5 point decline in next month speculate 112% of future DA/DR.  Therefore it is mostly confirm that 6% increase in future DA/DR for Central Government. 
expected+da+jan+2015

Employees/Pensioner.  See the table of Expected DA/DR given below:

ExpectationIncrease/ Decrease IndexMonthBase Year 2001
100
Total of 12MonthsTwelve monthly Average% increase over 115.76for   DADA announced or will be
announced

-4Dec,132392786232.17100.56%100%
DA/DR fromJuly, 2014-2Jan,142372802233.5101.71%107%

1Feb,142382817234.75102.79%

1Mar,142392832236103.87%

3Apr,142422848237.33105.02%

2May,142442864238.67106.17%

2Jun,142462879239.92107.25%
JUL+AICPIN6Jul,142522896241.33108.48%113%
Aug+AICPIN1Aug,142532912242.67109.63%
Sep+AICPIN0Sep,142532927243.92110.71%
Oct+AICPIN0Oct,142532939244.92111.57%
Nov+AICPIN0Nov,142532949245.75112.29%
Expected AICPIN for Dec
2014 –
Expected
DA/DR is
constant to
113% from
-4 point
decline to
9 point
increase
0Dec,142532963246.92113.30%
2Dec,142552965247.08113.44%113%
8Dec,142612971247.58113.88%113%
9Dec,142622972247.67113.95%113%
10Dec,142632973247.75114.02%114%
-2Dec,142512961246.75113.16%113%
-4Dec,142492959246.58113.01%113%
-5Dec,142482958246.50112.94%112%
Hence expected DA/DR from Jan, 2015 is 113%

Press Release for CPI(IW) Base 2001=100 Monthly Index Letter – NOVEMBER 2014

No. 5/1/2014- CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU
‘CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: the 3lst December, 2014
Press Release
Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-1W) – November, 2014
The All-India CPI-1W for November, 2014 remained stationary at 253 (two hundred and fifty three). On l-month percentage change, it remained static between October, 2014 and November, 2014 when compared with the rise of 0.83 per cent between the same two months a year ago.
The largest upward pressure to the change in current index came from Miscellaneous group contributing (+) 0.17 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Wheat, Rice, Moong Dal, Masur Dal, Arhar Dal, Eggs (Hen), Goat Meat, Milk (Cow), Onion, Tea (Readymade), Private Tution Fee, Flower/F lower Garlands, Tailoring Charges, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was restricted to some extent by Ginger, Chillies green, Vegetable items, Sugar, Petrol, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-1W stood at 4.12 per cent for November, 2014 as compared to 4.98 per cent for the previous month and 11.47 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 2.56 per cent against 4.48 per cent of the previous month and 16.17 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.
At centre level, Madurai reported an increase of 12 points followed by Chennai (11 points), Tiruchirapally (7 points), Coonoor (6 points), Salem and Coimbatore (5 points each) and Bangluru (4 points). Among others, 3 points rise was observed in 3 centres, 2 points in 7 centres and 1 point in 9 centres. On the contrary, Srinagar recorded a decrease of 6 points and Ghaziabad (5 points). Among others, 4 points fall was registered in 2 centres, 3 points in 6 centres, 2 points in 12 centres and 1 point in 19 centres. Rest of the 11 centres’ indices remained stationary.
The indices of 38 centres are above and other 39 centres’ indices are below  national average. The index of Bhopal centre remained at par with all-India index.
The next index of CPI-1W for the month of December, 2014 will be released on Friday, 30 January, 2015. The same will also be available on the office website www.1abourbureau. gov. in.
(S.S. NEGI)
DIRECTOR
Source: http://labourbureau.nic.in/press_note_eng_nov_2014.pdf

Monday, 1 September 2014

EXPECTED DA JAN 2015 – AICPIN FOR JULY 2014 – 6 POINTS HIKED AND STANDS AT 252

EXPECTED DA JAN 2015 – AICPIN FOR JULY 2014 – 6 POINTS HIKED AND STANDS AT 252
No. 5/1/2014-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU
`CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: the 29th August, 2014

PRESS RELEASE

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – July, 2014

The All-India CPI-IW for July, 2014 increased by 6 points and pegged at 252 (two hundred and fifty two). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by 2.44 per cent between June, 2014 and July, 2014 when compared with the rise of 1.73 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The largest upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing 4.42 percentage points to the total change. The House Rent index further accentuated the overall index by 1.08 percentage points. At item level, Rice, Eggs, Milk, Onion, Chillies Green, Tomato, Potato and other Vegetables & Fruits, Sugar, Tea (Readymade), Pan Finished, Doctors’ Fee, College Fee, Petrol, Rail Fare, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was restricted to some extent by Wheat, Soft Coke, Medicine (Allopathic), etc., putting downward pressure on the index.


The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 7.23 per cent for July, 2014 as compared to 6.49 per cent for the previous month and 10.85 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 8.11 per cent against 5.88 per cent of the previous month and 14.10 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Nagpur recorded the maximum increase of 12 points followed by Ludhiana (10 points). Among others, 9 points rise was observed in 7 centres, 8 points in 3 centres, 7 points in 9 centres, 6 points in 23 centres, 5 points in 14 centres, 4 points in 10 centres, 3 points in 4 centres, 2 points in 4 centres and I point in 2 centres.

The indices of 35 centres are above and other 41 centres are below national average. The indices of Ernakulam and Varanasi are at par with all-India index.

The next index of CPI-IW for the month of August, 2014 will be released on Tuesday, 30 September, 2014. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureau.gov. in.
(S.S.NEGI)
DIRECTOR
Source: www.labourbureau.gov.in

Thursday, 26 June 2014

Suggestion on Dearness Allowance for 7th Pay Commission – NC JCM STAFF SIDE

Suggestion on Dearness Allowance for 7th Pay Commission – NC JCM STAFF SIDE
National Council JCM Staff Side suggested on the issue of Dearness Allowance in 7th Pay Commission, the existing formula of computation of Dearness allowance and its payment with effect from 1st January, and 1st July may continue…
Dearness allowance

The neutralisation envisaged under the present system of computation of dearness compensation is supposed to be cent per cent, but in reality it is not the case. Actual consumer price index is much higher than the level at which DA is calculated on the basis of 12 monthly average. The average is always lower than the actual cost of living.

The calculation of consumer price index, its basis, the basket of goods on which it is based, are questionable and has become a matter of dispute. Since the Pay Commission being not the forum at which these issues could be taken, we do not propose to go into the details of this aspects.

We suggest, therefore, that the existing formula of computation of DA and its payment with effect from 1st January, and 1st July, may continue.

Thursday, 22 May 2014

Expected DA-Status, as of March 2014

Expected Dearness Allowance from July 2014 for Central Govt Employees and Pensioners...


Expected DA- Status, as of March 2014
Expected Dearness Allowance from July 2014 : This time there is a considerable slackening in the pace of the expected DA. It looks as if there are plenty of reasons for it.

As of March, the AICPIN has increased by one point and is at 239. The rapid increase in Consumer Price Index (IW) has been brought under control now. Election is believed to be one of the reasons for it. Since price rise and inflation are under control, there is not much of an increase in All India Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers. With a fall in the prices of essential commodities, the AICPIN points have actually reduced.

Another reason is the reduction of AICPIN by 4 points in December 2013. The Consumer Price Index, which was steadily rising till then, slumped by 4 points. It wasn’t much of a shock then because the Additional DA for the month of January 2014 increased by 10% and had touched 100%.
The All India Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers Base Year 2001=100, which was at 243, fell by 4 points to end up at 239. It again fell by 2 points to touch 237, thus dampening the expectations surrounding the next additional Dearness Allowance announcements. It looks highly unlikely that the AICPIN would rise by 4 points to return to its previous levels.


We are of the opinion that there will not be much of a change in what we had said last time(Expected da from Jul 14 - Feb).

The table given below will easily explain you why…
Month/
Year
AICPIN
(IW) Base Year 2001=100
Increased/
Decreased Points
in AICPIN
Total Points Increased Total of 12 Months 12 Months Average % Increase over 115.763 Approximate DA Total DA % DA%
Increase Month wise
Jan-1322122535211.2595.4982.49822
Feb-1322322559213.2597.4984.22844
Mar-1322412582215.1799.4185.87855
Apr-1322622603216.92101.1687.38877
May-1322822625218.75102.9988.97888
Jun-132313122648220.67104.9190.629010
Jul-1323542671222.58106.8292.28922
Aug-1323722694224.5108.7493.93933
Sep-1323812717226.42110.6695.59955
Oct-1324132741228.42112.6697.32977
Nov-1324322766230.5114.7499.12999
Dec-13239-482786232.17116.41100.5610010
Jan-14237-22802233.5117.74101.711011
Feb-1423812817234.75118.99102.791022
Mar-14239102832236120.24103.861033
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14

‘Expected DA from July 2014’ completed its third step..!

[http://90paisa.blogspot.in/2014/05/expected-da-status-as-of-march-2014.html]

Flash News

DA Jan 2022 - Grant of Dearness Allowance to Central Government employees - Revised Rates effective from 01.01.2022

 3% DA Hike - Revised Rates effective from 01.01.2022: DoE OM dated 31.03.2022 No. 1/2/2022-E-II (B) Government of India Ministry of Finance...