Cabinet approved 6% DA and DR for Central Govt Employees and Pensioners due from 1.1.2016

Cabinet approved 6% DA and DR for Central Govt Employees and Pensioners due from 1.1.2016

Release of additional instalment of Dearness Allowance to Central Government employees and Dearness Relief to Pensioners due from 1.1.2016

Press Information Bureau
Government of India

23-March, 2016

The Union Cabinet, chaired by the Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi, has approved release of an additional instalment of Dearness Allowance (DA) to Central Government employees and Dearness Relief (DR) to Pensioners w.e.f. 01.01.2016. This represents an increase of 6 percent over the existing rate of 119 percent of the Basic Pay/Pension, to compensate for price rise.

This will benefit about 50 lakh Government employees and 58 lakh pensioners.

The increase is in accordance with the accepted formula, which is based on the recommendations of the 6th Central Pay Commission (CPC). The combined impact on the exchequer on account of both Dearness Allowance and Dearness Relief would be of Rs. 6796.50 crore per annum and Rs.7929.24 crore respectively, in the financial year 2016-17 (for a period of 14 months from January, 2016 to February, 2017).

PIB

Expected DA on Jan 2016 - AICPIN for December 2015

Expected DA on Jan 2016 - AICPIN for December 2015

No.5/1/2015- CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

`CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 29th January, 2016

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – December, 2015

The All-India CPI-IW for December, 2015 decreased by I point and pegged at 269 (two hundred and sixty nine). On 1-month percentage change, it decreased by (-) 0.37 per cent between November and December, 2015 which was static between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum downward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (-) 1.36 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Arhar Dal, Masur Dal, Moong Dal, Onion, Potato, Tomato, Peas and other Green Vegetables & Fruit items, Petrol, etc. are responsible for the fall in index. However, this decrease was checked by Rice, Wheat, Wheat Atta, Fish Fresh, Eggs (Hen), Poultry (Chicken), Goat Meat, Milk (Buffalo), ESI Contribution, Rail Fare, Barber Charges, Flower/Flower Garlands, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 6.32 per cent for December, 2015 as compared to 6.72 per cent for the previous month and 5.86 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 7.94 per cent against 7.86 per cent of the previous month and 5.73 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Ludhiana reported the maximum decrease of 7 points followed by Ahmedabad and Rourkela (6 points each), Tripura, Varanasi, Lucknow and Kodarma (5points each). Among others, 4 points decrease was observed in 9 centres, 3 points in 4 centres, 2 points in 11 centres and 1 point in 12 centres. On the contrary, Quilon recorded a highest increase of 7 points followed by Warangal (4 points), and Rangapara-Tezpur, Chhindwara and Mundakkayam (3 points each). Among others, 2 points increase was observed in 5 centres and 1 point in 9 centres. Rest of the 16 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 37 centres are above All-India Index and other 40 centres’ indices are below national average. The index of Jabalpur centre remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of January, 2016 will be released on Monday, 29th February, 2016. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.

sd/-
(SHYAM SINGH NEGI)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL

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Authority: www.labourbureau.nic.in

Expected DA Calculation will play vital role in determining Fitment Factor of 7th CPC

Expected DA Calculation will play vital role in determining Fitment Factor of 7th CPC
 
Expected DA from January 2016 likely to change the Fitment Factor of 7th CPC

At the end of the Sixth CPC Regime all the Central Government servants are at the verge of receiving their last installment of Dearness Allowance in Sixth Pay Commission. Almost the DA from January 2016 will be finalized after the release of AICPIN for the month of December 2015. The eleven months AICPIN Points released from January 2015 to November 2015 by Labour Bureau suggests that there is a possibility to get 6 to 7 percent hike in DA from January 2016. But the AICPIN for the Month of December will determine the exact rate of hike in Dearness Allowance from Jan 2016.

The rate of DA, as expected by 7th Pay commission, if arrived at 125 % with 6% hike there will be no change in Fitment factor. Because the Fitment Factor 2.57 is arrived by adding the 125% DA, at the rate anticipated on 1.1.2016. If AICPIN for December 2015 necessitates changing the expected DA from 125% to the level of 126 % with hike of 7%, then there will be certainly an impact in the Fitment Factor of 7th CPC. In that case, there will be change in decimals of fitment factor

So, Expected DA from January 2016 will play vital role in determining Fitment Factor if it increases from expected level of 125% to 126%.

What will be the fitment factor if DA reaches at 126% from January 2016.

When it was anticipated that the DA will be 125 % from January 2016, The 7th Pay Commission stated in the Report that

“This fitment factor of 2.57 is being proposed to be applied uniformly for all employees. It includes a factor of 2.25 on account of DA neutralization, assuming that the rate of Dearness Allowance would be 125 percent at the time of implementation of the new pay. Accordingly, the actual raise/fitment being recommended is 14.29 percent”

If 126% of DA has to be taken into account for arriving Fitment factor with the recommended 14.29 % increase..

The Revised Fitment Factor will be as follows

The fitment factor after DA neutralization = 2.26

Increase of 14.29% over 2.26 = 0.32

Total (2.26+0.32) = 2.58

So the fitment factor for arriving revised pay will be 2.58 as in case of the DA reaches 126% from January 2016

Let us wait for the release of AICPIN for the Month of December 2016..

Source : http://govtstaffnews.in/

Expected DA from January 2016 – 2 Point increase in December 2015 may change 7th Pay Commission fitment formula

Expected DA from January 2016 and its impact on 7th Pay Commission Pay fixation formula and Multiplication Factor – If CPI-IW for December reaches 272 then 7th Pay Commission multiplication factor will have to be revised to 2.58

Expected DA from January 2016 – 2 Point increase in December 2015 may change 7th Pay Commission fitment formula

Expected DA from January 2016 – Two Point increase in CPI for Dec 2015 could take it to 126% which is 1% more than what was reckoned for 7th Pay Commission revised Pay fixation.

If DA from January 2016 touches 126%, 7th Pay Commission fitment formula and Multiplication factor of 2.57 may require upward revision

Consumer Price Index (Industrial Workers) for the month of November 2015 has been released recently by Govt. We have one point increase in CPI for November 2015 which has moved from 269 to 270.

Consumer Price Index from January 2015 to November 2015

Month	Actual AICPI-IW
Jan-2015	254
Feb-2015	253
Mar-2015	254
Apr-2015	256
May-2015	258
Jun-2015	261
July-2015	263
Aug-2015	264
Sep-2015	266
Oct-2015	269
Nov-2015	270
Dec-2015	Not released

DA from January 2016 – Estimation for 125%:

DA from Jan 2016=	[(254+253+254+256+258+261+263+264+266+269+270+258)-115.76]*100/115.76
=	125 % (6% increase in DA from Jan 2016)

Based on actual CPI-IW for 11 months from January 2015 to November 2015 which span from 254 to 270 and estimated index for the month of December 2015, it is almost certain that Dearness Allowance from January 2016 payable to Central Government Employees including Railway Employees and Defence Personnel will not be less than 125% (6% increase).

Even a 12 point fall in CPI-IW from 270 to 258 in December 2015 will not affect the DA from January 2016 clocking 125%.

DA from January 2016 – Estimation for 126%:

Our Proposition discussed in the earlier article on the chances for DA from January 2015 reaching 126% (7% increase) still holds good as two point increase in the CPI-IW in December 2015 would take DA from January 2016 to 126%.

DA from Jan 2016=	[(254+253+254+256+258+261+263+264+266+269+270+272)-115.76]*100/115.76
=	126 % (7% increase in DA from Jan 2016)

DA from January 2016 – Estimation for 127%:

At the same time possibility of DA from January 2016 reaching 127% or more is remote as CPI-IW has to reach 286 in December 2015 from the present level of 270 for getting DA of 127%.

DA from Jan 2016=	[(254+253+254+256+258+261+263+264+266+269+270+286)-115.76]*100/115.76
=	127% (8% increase in DA from Jan 2016)

So, DA from January 2016 will be either 125% (6% increase) or 126% (7% increase). One might think that 1% additional DA from January 2016 is negligible. However, it will be 1% more than what was reckoned for 7th Pay Commission revised Pay fixation.

7th Pay Commission has estimated DA from January 2016 as 125% for the purpose of Revision of Pay and Allowances

Now, if Consumer Price Index (Industrial workers) for the month of December 2015 reaches 172 from the present level of 170, it is certain that DA from January 2016 will be 126%. In that case, 7th Pay Commission pay fitment formula and allowances which are DA indexed will have to be revised accordingly.

For instance, 7th Pay Commission’s uniform multiplication factor of 2.57 includes a factor of 2.25 on account of DA neutralisation, assuming that the rate of Dearness Allowance would be 125 percent at the time of implementation of the new pay. If DA from January 2016 reaches 126% then this multiplication factor will have to revised as 2.58.

Source: gconnect

AICPIN for November 2015 – Expected DA from Jan 2016

AICPIN for November 2015 – Expected DA from Jan 2016

No. 5/1/2015-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

`CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 31st December, 2015

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – November, 2015

The All-India CPI-IW for November, 2015 increased by 1 point and pegged at 270 (two hundred and seventy). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by (+) 0.37 per cent between October and November, 2015 which was static between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 0.64 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Wheat, Urd Dal, Mustard Oil, Eggs (Hen), Milk, Chillies-Dry, Garlic, Carrot, Lady’s Finger, Peas, Potato, Tomato, Tea (Readymade), Sugar, Flower/Flower Garlands, Tailoring Charges, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was restricted by Chillies Green, Onion, Brinjal, Cauliflower, Green Coriander Leaves, Methi, Radish, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 6.72 per cent for November, 2015 as compared to 6.32 per cent for the previous month and 4.12 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 7.86 per cent against 7.50 per cent of the previous month and 2.56 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Madurai reported the highest increase of 11 points followed by Tiruchirapally (9 points), Jalandhar, Puducherry and Salem (7points each) and Mundakkayam (6 points). Among others, 4 points rise was observed in 5 centres, 3 points in 7 centres, 2 points in 12 centres and 1 point in 10 centres. On the contrary, Jamshedpur, Tripura and Rangapara-Tezpur recorded a maximum decrease of 4 points each followed by Kolkata, Amritsar and Kodarma (3 points each). Among others, 2 points decrease was observed in 13 centres and 1 point in 8 centres. Rest of the 11 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 36 centres are above All India Index and other 41 centres’ indices are below national average. The index of Salem centre remained at par with all-India index.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of December, 2015 will be released on Friday, 29th January, 2016. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.

sd/-
(SHYAM SINGH NEGI)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL

Authority: http://labourbureau.nic.in/

DA from January 2016 may touch 126%

If CPI-IW for November 2015 and December 2015 could touch 271, DA from January 2016 for Central Government Employees will be 126%

CPI-IW for Oct 2015 released – DA from January 2016 may touch 126%

Consumer Price Index (IW) for October 2015 released – DA from January 2016 for Central Government Employees and Pensioners is likely to increase by 6% or 7%

Labour Bureau, Ministry of Labour and Employment has released All India Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers for the month of October 2015. CPI-IW has increased by 3 points from 266 to 269, the highest increase witnessed this year.

The increase in CPI-IW will be reflected in Dearness Allowance from January 2016 in respect of Central Government Employees including Railway Employees and Defence Personnel.

It was estimated last month that DA from January 2016 for Central Government Employees will be 125%.
However, due to sharp increase in CPI-IW for October 2015, this estimation requires a small correction now.

CPI-IW from January 2015 to October 2015

Month	Actual AICPI-IW
Jan-2015	254
Feb-2015	253
Mar-2015	254
Apr-2015	256
May-2015	258
Jun-2015	261
July-2015	263
Aug-2015	264
Sep-2015	266
Oct-2015	269
Nov-2015	Not released
Dec-2015	Not released

If CPI-IW for the month of November 2015 reaches 271 and remains at the same level in December 2015, then DA from January 2016 will be 126%, which is an increase of 7% from the present level. However, increase in DA more than 7% is unlikely as it requires at lease 5 point increase of CPI-IW in each of the coming two months.

DA from Jan 2016=	[(254+253+254+256+258+261+263+264+ 266+269+271+271)-115.76]*100/115.76
=	126 % (7% increase in DA from Jan 2016)

At the same time, if CPI-IW increases by only one point in each of coming two months, DA from January 2016 will be 125%

DA from Jan 2016=	[(254+253+254+256+258+261+263+264+ 266+269+270+271)-115.76]*100/115.76
=	125 % (7% increase in DA from Jan 2016)

Press Release of Labour Bureau for the release of CPI-IW for October 2015

No. 5/1/2015- CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED : 30th November, 2015

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – October, 2015

The All-India CPI-IW for October, 2015 increased by 3 points and pegged at 269 (two hundred and sixty nine). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by (+) 1.13 per cent between September and October, 2015 which was static between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 2.15 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Wheat & Wheat Atta, Arhar Dal, Gram Dal, Masur Dal, Moong Dal, Urd Dal, Mustard Oil, Milk, Chillies-Dry, Potato, Tomato, Green Vegetables, Tea (Readymade), Sugar, Cooking Gas, Electricity Charges, Private Tuition Fee, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was restricted by Coconut oil, Fish Fresh, Poultry (Chicken), Onion, Apple, Soft Coke, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 6.32 per cent for October, 2015 as compared to 5.14 per cent for the previous month and 4.98 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 7.50 per cent against 5.71 per cent of the previous month and 4.48 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Jabalpur reported the highest increase of 10 points followed by Tripura and Ludhiana (9 points each), Ghaziabad, Kodarma and Vadodra (7points each), and Sholapur and Guntur (6 points each). Among others, 5 points rise was observed in 9 centres, 4 points in another 9 centres, 3 points in 10 centres, 2 points in 13 centres and 1 point in 12 centres. On the contrary, Giridih and Chhindwara recorded a maximum decrease of 4 points each followed by Ranchi-Hatia and Haldia (3 points each). Among others, 1 point decrease was observed in 4 centres. Rest of the 9 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 35 centres are above All India Index and other 42 centres’ indices are below national average. The index of Angul-Talcher centre remained at par with all-India index.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of November, 2015 will be released on Thursday, 31st December, 2015. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureau.gov. in.

(SHYAM SINGH NEGI)

DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL

Assumption 2: (Assumption of CPI for getting maximum possible DA from January 2016):

DA from January 2016 is calculated to be 126%, only if CPI touches 272 from the present level of 266, at least two times in the coming three months with at least one point increase in the remaining month.  We feel that this scenario is remotely possible considering the trend of CPI, which shows only moderate inflation.

Source: :Labour Bureau via: gconnect

Expected DA January 2016 – AICPIN for September 2015

Expected DA January 2016 – AICPIN for September 2015

No.5/1/2015-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004
DATED : 30th October, 2015

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – September, 2015

The All-India CPI-IW for September, 2015 increased by 2 points and pegged at 266 (two hundred and sixty six). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by (+) 0.76 per cent between August and September, 2015 which was static between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 1.78 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Arhar Dal, Masur Dal, Moong Dal, Urd Dal, Mustard Oil, Onion, Cauliflower, Green Coriander Leaves, Potato, Tea (Readymade), Sugar, Electricity Charges, Private Tuition Fee, Flower/Flower Garlands, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was restricted by Wheat, Fish Fresh, Poultry (Chicken), Eggs (Hen), Apple, Coconut, Tomato, Petrol, Washing Soap, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 5.14 per cent for September, 2015 as compared to 4.35 per cent for the previous month and 6.30 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 5.71 per cent against 3.55 per cent of the previous month and 6.46 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Chhindwara reported the highest increase of 10 points followed by Varanasi (9 points), Pune, Tripura, Jalpaiguri and Bhilwara (6 points each). Among others, 5 points rise was observed in 5 centres, 4 points in 7 centres, 3 points in 8 centres, 2 points in 16 centres and 1.point in 19 centres. On the contrary, Goa recorded a maximum decrease of 4 points followed by Ernakulam 3 points. Among others, 2 points decrease was observed in 4 centres and 1 point in 2 centres. Rest of the 9 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 36 centres are above All India Index and other 42 centres’ indices are below national average.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of October, 2015 will be released on Monday, 30th November, 2015. The same will also be available on the office website www. labourbureau.gov. in.

(S.S.NEGI)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL

Authority: http://labourbureau.nic.in/

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Expected DA January 2016 completes its second step – AICPIN for August 2015

‘Expected DA January 2016’ completes its second step – AICPIN for August 2015

All India Consumer Price Index for the month of August 2015 release by the Labour Bureau today…

No.5/1/2015 – CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004
DATED : 30th September, 2015

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – August, 2015
The All-India CPI-IW for August, 2015 increased by 1 point and pegged at 264 (two hundred and sixty four).

On 1-month percentage change, it increased by (+) 0.38 per cent between July, 2015 and August, 2015 when compared with the increase of (+) 0.40 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 1.57 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Arhar Dal, Masur Dal, Groundnut Oil, Mustard Oil, Beef, Milk, Onion, Garlic, Brinjal, Parval, Peas, Coconut, Tea (Readymade), Electricity Charges, Barber Charges, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was restricted by Rice, Wheat, Wheat Atta, Fish Fresh, Poultry (Chicken), French Beans, Potato, Tomato, Cooking Gas, Petrol, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 4.35 per cent for August, 2015 as compared to 4.37 per cent for the previous month and 6.75 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 3.55 per cent against 3.21 per cent of the previous month and 7.63 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Jharia reported the highest increase of 9 points followed by Ludhiana (7 points), Kodarma and Labac Silchar (6 points each). Among others, 5 points in 6 centres, 4 points in 11 centres, 3 points in 7 centres, 2 points in 17 centres and 1 point in 15 centres. On the contrary, Goa centre recorded a maximum decrease of 4 points followed by Mundakayam and Ernakulam 3 points each. Among others, 2 points decrease was observed in Quilon centre and 1 point in 4 centres. Rest of the 10 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 36 centres are above All India Index and other 42 centres’ indices are below national average.

The next index of CPI-IW for the month of September, 2015 will be released on Friday, 30th October, 2015. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureau.gov.in.

sd/-
(I.S.NEGI)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL

Authoirty: Labour Bureau

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